Objective
To identify risk factors associated with 48-hour mortality following continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) initiation in patients with septic associated acute kidney injury(SAKI),and evaluate their predictive value for early mortality.
Methods
A retrospective cohort study of 258 SAKI patients who received CRRT in the Intensive Care Medicine Department of Beijing Friendship Hospital,Capital Medical University,between January 2016 and December 2021 was conducted.Patients were divided into survival group (203 cases) and non-survival group (55 cases) based on 48-hour mortality after CRRT initiation.Logistic regression was used to assess the risk factors for early mortality,and develop a composite predictor.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to assess the predictive performance of the combined prediction factor for early mortality.
Results
The 48-hour mortality rate was 21.3%.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed three independent risk factors for early death:lower creatinine levels [OR=1.50 (per 100 μmol/L decrease),95% CI:1.15-1.95],decreased oxygenation index[OR=1.05 (per 10 mmHg decrease),95% CI:1.02-1.09],and elevated lactate levels [OR=1.20 (per 1 mmol/L increase),95% CI:1.10-1.30].The composite predictor showed an AUC of 0.804.
Conclusions
The low levels of creatinine and oxygenation index,as well as high lactate levels in critically ill SAKI patients receiving CRRT,significantly influence the early mortality.The derived composite predictor demonstrates clinically meaningful performance for early mortality risk stratification.